To: Arthurio
Gore lost in 2000 with a .5% popular vote advantage
Cleveland lost in 1888 with a .8% popular vote advantage
But Tilden lost in 1876 with a 3.1% popular vote advantage
So it's certainly precedented and possible to lose the EC with a 2-3% popular vote advantage but if Gallup has R/R up 5% (which means 6 or 7% after undecideds decide) it's hard to picture it ending split. Those votes have to come from somewhere, if not Ohio.
21 posted on
10/26/2012 7:34:44 PM PDT by
RagingBull
(Talent does what it can; genius does what it must)
To: RagingBull
That 1876 election was an odd one. Hayes won by a single electoral vote in an election where 20 EVs were disputed after Election Day and ended up being formally awarded to Hayes after a court battle.
23 posted on
10/26/2012 7:42:16 PM PDT by
Alberta's Child
("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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