[nhwingut]

50-47 seems to be the consensus. Romney now pulling away big time with Indies. He is up 17 in Rasmussen, and up 19 in ABC/WaPo… These numbers indicate a 53-47 landslide.

And the stat I watch closest, Right Track/Wrong Track, is trending badly for Obama with the “Other” demo (Hispanics/Asians). Earlier in week it had almost pulled dead even (43/44). Today it is 32/60 for a -28 reading.

With only 11 days to go, Obama is not just in a bad spot, he’s almost in an unrecoverable spot.

[MrB]

47... somehow that number seems familiar.

[andy58-in-nh]

We have well noted the tendency of most public polls to undersample Republicans this year (preferring a 2008 turnout assumption), but the same polls are likely discounting independent/unenrolled voters as well.

In any event, based upon all historical precedents, a sitting President who consistently cannot command more than 47% support will not be re-elected.

[KansasGirl]

See post #44

Rasmussen is screwing with his turnout model to keep it a close race. He moved it to around D +6 today to keep it at Romney +3.