With respect to Iran, you may have gotten the timing wrong. We, The US Navy, will have, count them, 3 Aircraft carriers off the coast of Iran next week. There are also several reports in the middle east and now on WND that the Iranians have agreed to stop enrichment “temporarily” if the US will drop all sanctions. The word is Zero has agreed and the Iranians are awaiting his official declaration.
Thus, you may still be correct in a sense.
If in time the Wag the Dog prediction is realized -- but at a much later date then I imagined -- then this speaks to the pure incompetence of this Administration. Rally-Round-the-Flag poll bounces peak at the two month mark. To do so at this time would only hurt him with his base, and fool no one else.
But maybe I underestimated OTrauma's sheer incompetence.