On Being Accountable: When Predictions Go Astray

Original Accountability :) | Oct 19, 2012 | By Laz A. Mataz

[arthurus]

Morris is useful as a prognosticator. Bet regularly against his predictions and you will come out ahead most of the time, nay- almost all of the time. That is why I am not optimistic that the kenyan will not be presidnt after the Election.

[arthurus]

I believe we already had the October Surprise and it misfired badly. I think Benghazi was supposed to be a Kidnapping of the Ambassador which would end happily as the kenyan negotiated a quick release followed immediately after the election by a release/deportation of the Blind Sheik. Alas the two exSeals defended the Ambassador and the kidnapping got thwarted.

[luvie]

I am shocked! SHOCKED I tell ya!

[CAluvdubya]

In another article, I boldly predicted a military strike on Iran or Libya no later than October 15th

According to our vice president and the senate majority leader, you're right on this one.

I think that ups your score! :)

[Delta 21]

If we relied on the coin toss alone we may get 50%. Interject our humanness into it and that percentage drops quickly.

You are still way ahead of the game.

[no-to-illegals]

Thanks Laz. Your thread this time was humanistic. Sixty Five percent is much better than zer0.

[arthurus]

Romney will get a large majority of the legitimate vote. Whether he will win the vote count may be a different matter. The count margin will certainly be smaller than the legitvote margin. If it is close and still not in the kenyan's favor we are in for a helluva lawyer cat fight. The outcome of that will depend on Justice Roberts who has already shown he has come to prefer the affirmation of the celebrity and social left crowd to Constitutionalism.

[Lazamataz]

Thank you sir! I still will strive to improve.

[WomBom]

Sorry My Man,

I dis’d you and never read the last one!

If you would’ve left it alone I never would have known!

That said, keep’em comin Laz!

[Responsibility2nd]

So in this article, I was accurate to about a 65% level.... which is not much better than a coin toss.

 

So you're not good at political observations. If I were you, I'd return to doing what you do best...

When it comes to Hitting It - You ALWAYS were at 100 %

[DuncanWaring]

Predictions are hard.

Especially about the future.

(I can't believe nobody posted that yet)

[Lazamataz]

So you're not good at political observations.

Nossir, I wouldn't agree with that. I'm actually pretty reasonably astute when it comes to political observations.

My downfall is Political PROGNOSTATIONS....

.... and maybe Political Play-Stations.

[Lazamataz]

From now on, I will only predict events in history.

But even then I expect only an 80% accuracy rate. ;)

[Lazamataz]

Sorry My Man, I dis’d you and never read the last one!

Really? Wow, you missed out on me being really wrong! :)

[Hoodat]

Which one's it gonna be, Laz?

[Lazamataz]

I will take the plaid pill.

I could NEVER decide.

[PGalt]

Great job, Laz! Keep readin’ writin’ predictin’. Truth, honesty, transparency AND availability. Taking all questions, suggestions and hits. WOOOHOOO Laz!

[Little Ray]

Dunno. I think 65% over 4 tosses in pretty good. It is better than the average “pundit” on TV.

[Lazamataz]

Thanks bro. My target is 400% accuracy. :)

[Lazamataz]

Thanks for the cheers. I’m probably blushing a little. LOL