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On Being Accountable: When Predictions Go Astray
Original Accountability :) | Oct 19, 2012 | By Laz A. Mataz

Posted on 10/18/2012 10:24:51 PM PDT by Lazamataz

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To: Lazamataz

Giving up would be a disservice, so you must do the alternative. Get better. On balance, your prognostication score of 65 is better than most of the “pros” out there. And a lot more entertaining.


41 posted on 10/18/2012 11:01:32 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Obama considers the Third World morally superior to the United States.)
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To: kevao
With binders full of failed predictions, your skills are not optimal.

It's a bump in the road.

42 posted on 10/18/2012 11:02:27 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Cyber Liberty
Babe Ruth led the league in strike-outs. You will never hit the long ball if you don’t swing the bat.

Oh, ...he'll hit it!

43 posted on 10/18/2012 11:03:50 PM PDT by The Citizen Soldier (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history when everyone stands around reloading.)
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To: Cyber Liberty
Awh. Thanks pal. Whatever the result, I did need to come clean and not sweep the 'fails' under the rug, like the pro's so often do.

I just can't be like those guys, when it comes to this.

44 posted on 10/18/2012 11:03:58 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: cardinal4
If I may predict a few times on your prediction thread..? Romney wins big enough to be declared the winner by midnight eastern.. At least one poster will agree. Many will not. At least one will declare he/she is not voting for Romney. At least one post regarding vote fraud. Much snark.

I agree with your prediction, but at the same time, I do not. That is because I cannot vote for Romney. What's the point, there's so much Democrat voter fraud?

;)

45 posted on 10/18/2012 11:05:31 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: berdie
This is a pretty unpredictable election season. It’s been a little bit strange.

True that! The normal rules don't seem to apply!

46 posted on 10/18/2012 11:07:04 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Lazamataz

FAIL: you didn’t snark!


47 posted on 10/18/2012 11:07:59 PM PDT by cardinal4 (Barack Hussein Obama, America's 21st century Edsel..)
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To: cardinal4
I predicted you'd notice that.

I'm getting better at predicting already.

48 posted on 10/18/2012 11:08:44 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Lazamataz

I am simply pointing out that both options are currently being discussed in non US media.

The “deal” to stop enrichment would not actually be done. Rather simply announced right before the last debate. No time for anyone to prepare or to authenticate before the debate nor the election. This requires Tehran’s complicity. Something they would do for free rather than face a Romney Presidency. However, I am of the opinion Zero will give them whatever they wish for the public assistance.

If they do not go with his plan, then the military option is ready to be used.

This is the opinion making waves in the middle east and to some extent in Europe.

Thought I would pass it along.

Snuph


49 posted on 10/18/2012 11:12:49 PM PDT by Snuph ("give me Liberty...")
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To: Snuph

Appreciate you posting it. :)


50 posted on 10/18/2012 11:14:02 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Lazamataz

You’re in good company. Safire, I believe it was, used to publish annual columns taking himself to task for failed predictions from the previous year. Tony Snow, too.


51 posted on 10/18/2012 11:17:17 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Obama considers the Third World morally superior to the United States.)
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To: Cyber Liberty
You’re in good company. Safire, I believe it was, used to publish annual columns taking himself to task for failed predictions from the previous year. Tony Snow, too.

Well good! Looks like I am on the right track by posting this sort of self-evaluation/criticism, after all. I had my doubts.

52 posted on 10/18/2012 11:20:15 PM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Lazamataz

You did the right thing posting it on FR. See all the folks willing to come out and tell you you’re stupid. ;^)


53 posted on 10/18/2012 11:29:40 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Obama considers the Third World morally superior to the United States.)
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To: Lazamataz

In baseball .650 batting average would be fantastic.

Keep slugging Laz!


54 posted on 10/18/2012 11:39:11 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (Winning is Everything.)
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To: Lazamataz

Nope. I love you.


55 posted on 10/18/2012 11:41:25 PM PDT by Jemian
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To: Cyber Liberty

LOL!


56 posted on 10/19/2012 12:32:22 AM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Dijya ever think when we first met, we'd become such fast friends???

ANOTHER one of my predictions, dashed. :)

57 posted on 10/19/2012 12:33:46 AM PDT by Lazamataz
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To: Lazamataz

I predicted that Romney would win the GOP nomination and FReepers would enthusiastically support him.

There is no need to check my posts - I didn’t spell it out because I was fearful of being banned.

But I do have emails to myself....so there;(


58 posted on 10/19/2012 3:42:37 AM PDT by sodpoodle (Life is prickly - carry tweezers.)
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To: sodpoodle
I predicted that Romney would win the GOP nomination and FReepers would enthusiastically support him.

Maybe some, but I'm really holding my nose in order to vote for him. He's a liberal jerk, but he's less of a liberal jerk than obama. Oh, and at least he's not a muslim. For a Conservative it's nothing to be proud of. It's like cutting off your leg to stop the spread of cancer and hoping that you've slowed it down enough until a real Conservative can come along to cure the disease of liberalism.

59 posted on 10/19/2012 3:48:13 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (Tequila can hurt but it wasn't designed to kill you. Taqiyya is.)
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To: Sirius Lee

You are correct. True Conservatives should, nevertheless take this only opportunity to get rid of Obama.

My concern is what the Lame Duck Liberal and his lame duck Congressional cohorts will do between November and January.

Obama is vengeful. He will leave Romney a bucketful of spit to sort out.

Romney is a decent human being - even if his record is slippery. I believe his best and worst attribute is that he listens to people and thus is open to both good and bad ideas; he needs to temper that with a heavy dose of Constitutional history and Conservative values (a la Newt).


60 posted on 10/19/2012 4:01:25 AM PDT by sodpoodle (Life is prickly - carry tweezers.)
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