[KC_Conspirator]

According to the poll,almost 1 in 5 Ohio voters has already cast a ballot, and among them, Obama is ahead 63 percent to 37 percent.

LS, is this contrary to what you have been reporting? I know that early voting is down, but how does this stack up?

[LS]

I don't have any data on "early" voting. It doesn't comport with "absentee" voting at all. The anecdotal evidence I have from precinct captains (Montgomery county only)is that Indies are running nearly 2:1 for Romney. These people do PERSONAL visits and talk to people quite a bit. They ask, "Who are you voting for?" of every indie.

The Ds here in Montgomery had a giant vote drive the other night at the county building and expected THOUSANDS. They had 1400 and had three empty floors with vacant seats.

In short, I don't believe it at all.

[paglia444]

Marist is NBC’s pollster. Remember, their most recent Ohio poll was D+11, a massive oversample. This oversample will affect any number they have on early voting.