D-R-I:
D=40%
R=39%
I=18%
Well they are under counting Indies which helps Obama since Romney is leading among this group by close to double digits.
When you normalize the polls for the Party affiliation (.+13% D) Romney is above 50% now and leading Obama by >6%.
http://polls2012.blogspot.com/
Romney Obama Romney Lead Undecided
49.79 43.62 6.17 6.59