[kabar]

You have a much better feel for what is going on in Ohio. I am watching Bret Bair now. The panel, including Steve Hayes, believes that Obama is truly ahead in Ohio and pulling away. They blame the Romney campaign and conclude that the polls taken together show a definite trend in Obama's favor.

Do you think that Romney can turn Hamilton around in his favor and reduce the damage coming from Cuyahoga? Personally, I don't think Romney can win without Ohio.

I really believe that Romney and Ryan need to go after Obama's personal narrative. They need to attack his phony autobiography, his associations, his political philosophy, and his murky past. They can do it thru surrogates, but it needs to be done and done soon given the start of early voting. How say you?

[LS]

Based on what I'm seeing, there is no way in hell Obama wins Hamilton county this time, and I (as of now) don't think he'll even win Franklin Co. Without these two, he's toast. His numbers are already off, net after subtracting Republican decline, 8% in Cayahoga. But GOP numbers everywhere else are up, not only in absolute numbers over the Dems but in % increases.

So we have Ras who says it's a tie; Gallup that has a +5 Dem sample to get a 1-2 point Obama lead, and a slew of polls showing Dem turnout at +9 in OH. Wow. And Stephen Hayes is an expert on OH?