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To: Marcella
I have this "Poll adjustment Calculator" that you can download from the link below. You can use it to adjust the Party ID breakdown to reflect a more realistic party ID breakdown on Elections Day and get the more realistic poll results. You can use it to adjust any state or national poll.

Poll Adjustment Calculator

The first section is to enter the results from a media poll, including % of democrats, % of Republicans, % of Independents, enter % Obama, % Romney, % Undecided, % Others for each of these groups ( i.e. demorats, Republicans, Independents)…

The second section is to t adjust the % democrats, % Republicans, % of Independents to match a more realistic elections turnout for each group. The worst case scenario would be democrats + 3% over Republicans but the most probable scenario is % republicans = % democrats on elections day. Make sure that when you do the adjustments for each of these group that they add to 100%.

The third section is the assignment of the % of undecided to each Romney and Obama. So you need to enter the % of undecided for Romney and those for Obama. Historically the undecided go 2:1 for the challenger…

36 posted on 09/26/2012 11:55:33 AM PDT by Conservative12345
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To: Conservative12345

“I have this “Poll adjustment Calculator” that you can download from the link below.”

Thanks.


42 posted on 09/26/2012 12:11:50 PM PDT by Marcella (Republican Conservatism is dead. PREPARE)
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