A quick look at the PPP internals shows they oversampled Dems by 13 points in North Carolina!........in 2008 Obama only won NC by 49.7% to 49.4% for McCain....and now they decide to use 13 points, and that is just to show Obama TIED?!........and not only that, but I can assure you that conservatives are highly motivated this election, in addition to some Dems who “did not sign up” for Obama’s radicalism....lefties are in for a rude awakening. Here’s the question from their “poll”:
Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 47%
Republican...................................................... 34%
Independent/Other.......................................... 19%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_903.pdf
can you look at the Missouri polls (presidential and Senate) and see if they have the same lopsided sampling?
NC, along with many other Southern states, has a high D registration with high D crossovers to voting R.
The exit polls for NC showed 42D-31R-27I.
It still means that, yes, PPP is overestimating Obama’s changes by at least about 4 points in NC holding him to 2008 standards, and there’s no way Obama is going to beat his 2008 turnout...