Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: CaptainK
Here is what calls into question any of the polls done now. Ras polls likely voters, the most accurate of methods and does a rolling average, also good. Gallup does a rolling average and a larger sample of registered voters a and has Romney +2. Registered voters are supposedly more favorable to DEMS than to REP and yet the Rep is still up 2 while the LV poll is supposed to be more accurate and yet has Obama +3.

The just released WAPO poll is of mostly ADULTS, wildly inaccurate and more favorable to Dems. Plus they oversampled Dems by a huge margin once again.

None of it makes a bit of sense and as even Rasmussen says on his site it is far better to look at his results on a weekly basis rather than a daily basis in order to get a more accurate sense of where the race is at this time.

107 posted on 08/27/2012 8:36:46 AM PDT by beenaround
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: beenaround

I agree that daily reporting is meaningless. Statistical fluctuation will give some reports that are distressing (like today’s), only to see a reversal a few days later. The big question: Knowing full well that daily reporting may lead to inaccurate conclusions, why doesn’t Rasmussen, using a rolling average over 7 days, report weekly instead of daily?


118 posted on 08/27/2012 9:20:57 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 107 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson