I was in Florida in 2004 for 3 of the 4 that hit that year, and, not coincidentally in NOLA the day before Katrina hit. Go figure. Anyway, I’ve looked at many hurricane tracks and watched them intently since then, and especially because we own property south of Tampa in Longboat Key. In my view, the risk for Tampa with this one is nil. It will do one of two things - continue west across the Yucatan, or turn north before it comes to Florida, perhaps strafing the east around Jacksonville and south Georgia with its northwest quadrant. Far better that than the northeast quadrant, which is what did in Biloxi and the small towns on the Mississippi coast with Katrina. In fact, the only thing that saved NOLA from total destruction was that last minute right turn - had she passed west, and the northeast quadrant passed over the city, she would have been gone.
“In fact, the only thing that saved NOLA from total destruction was that last minute right turn - had she passed west, and the northeast quadrant passed over the city, she would have been gone.”
Over the last few years, I’ve said exactly the same thing to people. As bad as Katrina was to New Orleans, it could have been A LOT worse.
Maybe you should post your travel plans so the rest of us can be elsewhere during hurricane season :-)