I’m more concerned about the projected electoral college count. Geographically, a really large number of states could go for Romney, but he will still lose if the big electoral college states go against him. Anybody know where I might find a chart or something on that?
As Clinton's pollster, Dick Morris conducted a study prior to the 1996 election to determine whether Clinton -- a minority president -- could lose the Electoral Vote with a numerical majority of the total vote (a la Gore in 2000).
Morris concluded that, from a practical standpoint, it was statistically impossible to lose the EV if you gathered 51-and-a-fraction percent of the total vote.
Reason is: States that are considered "unwinnable" will still produce results that are reasonably close (say, 55/45 -- which, from an electoral standpoint, is considered "a landslide")