What matters is Rasmussen’s polling...a reliable pollster who uses only likely voters and says that party affiliation is 35% Republican, 34% Democrat and 30% Independent. You couldn’t ask for a more fair weighting.
Rasmussen says the same thing as this article. Obama leading in the swing states.
I know this is grossly oversimplified, but the bottom line is that Romney has not been striking the right chords with voters despite the bad economy. We might like his ads, his speeches...whatever. They seem to be enabling him to hold his own in the states he is winning.
What they aren’t doing is enabling him to move forward in the states he is losing.
Whatever it is, he hasn’t hit the magic combination yet.