“Don’t buy into this crap. They are, in most cases, using polls that sample registered voters; not likely voters.”
I don’t know. On the one hand, Dem enthusiasm is way down, and ours is definitely UP. This is worth a lot. It’s very heartening to see the YouTube replays of 1980 election night, where the anchors were in tears wondering how this could happen, given that “the polls were running neck-and-neck that morning”.
I think fraud will be down, because the scrutiny, or at least the perception of scrutiny, is up. I would hate to be a Dem fraudster and then have a Republican President, House, and Senate. The next Attorney General might not be as...uhhh... “easygoing” as this one was. Those penalties are pretty harsh on paper.
I will say that people who don’t like Romney and plan on staying home have no business complaining about Obama after the election if he wins.
On every likey voter poll Romney has been up by as much as 5 points nation-wide. If I were Obama I would be more worried than Mitt at this point.