It really doesn’t matter. In his second term, Obama will impose gay marriage on the whole country—if not the whole world.
In the long run, though, I think there is hope. I was just reading Jeffrey Bell’s “The Case for Polarized Politics: Why America Needs Social Conservatism” (c 2012).
He believes there is a 3-way race between Islam, the Left, and U.S. social conservatism, and that the latter has a real chance of winning globally.