Here is how bettors and traders at InTrade are betting now:
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=745353
The US Supreme Court to rule individual mandate unconstitutional before midnight ET 31 Dec 2012
70.0%
CHANCE
Last prediction was: $7.00 / share
Today’s Change: -$0.50 (-6.7%)
Think this event will occur?
Current best (lowest) price to buy shares is $7.27 / share. There are 35 shares available at this price.
Think this event won’t occur?
Current best (highest) price to sell shares is $7.05 / share. There is 1 share available at this price.
What is the Intrade success rate at predicting SCOTUS decisions?
70.0% CHANCE
Last prediction was: $7.00 / share
Todays Change: -$0.50 (-6.7%)