It also seems somewhat biased to claim that Wisconsin has flipped when you are comparing two polls by different polling groups. Who knows what methods and biases account for the difference between the polls. You can only claim a flip if the same polling group shows it has flipped.
That’s some serious cherry picking to produce that article narrative. They point toward Rasmussen in Wisconin, but immediately counter it with a much less formidable poll showing the opposite. Then, they use Quinpiac in FL, ignoring other much better polls. Frankly there is no way Florida is in play if Wisconsin and Michigan are even close to going Republican.
Don’t forget the Bradley effect too.
Polls are pure BS! And it they are right then one hell of a lot of Americans are plain stupid to want to live in a Country that is so screwed up.
Ping
General Election: Romney vs. Obama
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread RCP Average 6/1 - 6/21 -- -- 46.6 44.3 Obama +2.3 Rasmussen Tracking 6/19 - 6/21 1500 LV 3.0 43 48 Romney +5 Gallup Tracking 6/15 - 6/21 3050 RV 2.0 45 46 Romney +1 Bloomberg 6/15 - 6/18 734 LV 3.6 53 40 Obama +13 Associated Press/GfK 6/14 - 6/18 878 RV 4.2 47 44 Obama +3 Pew Research 6/7 - 6/17 1563 RV 2.9 50 46 Obama +4 Reuters/Ipsos 6/7 - 6/11 848 RV 3.4 45 44 Obama +1 Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 6/4 - 6/6 1152 LV 2.9 47 46 Obama +1 IBD/CSM/TIPP 6/1 - 6/8 841 RV 3.5 46 42 Obama +4 FOX News 6/3 - 6/5 907 RV 3.0 43 43 Tie
Obama & Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable
Obama: Favorable/Unfavorable
Poll Date Sample Favorable Unfavorable Spread RCP Average 5/23 - 6/18 -- 51.6 44.0 +7.6 Bloomberg 6/15 - 6/18 1002 A 55 42 +13 Pew Research 6/7 - 6/17 1563 RV 50 48 +2 Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 6/4 - 6/6 1152 LV 45 43 +2 FOX News 6/3 - 6/5 907 RV 54 42 +12 Gallup 6/1 - 6/4 2069 A 52 43 +9 CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 1009 A 56 42 +14 ABC News/Wash Post 5/23 - 5/27 RV 49 48 +1 Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable
Poll Date Sample Favorable Unfavorable Spread RCP Average 5/23 - 6/18 -- 42.9 43.1 -0.2 Bloomberg 6/15 - 6/18 1002 A 39 48 -9 Pew Research 6/7 - 6/17 1563 RV 41 47 -6 Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 6/4 - 6/6 1152 LV 38 37 +1 FOX News 6/3 - 6/5 907 RV 46 42 +4 Gallup 6/1 - 6/4 2069 A 44 42 +2 CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 1009 A 48 42 +6 ABC News/Wash Post 5/23 - 5/27 RV 44 44 Tie
Still in many circles people are not focused on this, in fact even those on "our side" do not want this cycle, they know how ugly it will be, but they will vote.
With that said again it is 6 months out, and Obama is even or behind for all intensive purpose.
We still don't have the Romney Convention Bump, and the "big mo" is not in Obama's favor, and I don't see how he turns it around...
I don't see how they can spin it, I think he is deep doo-doo and the Dem/DNC wonks know it.
I went to that site "Glenn" talked about today, I came up with Romney @ 309 electorial and that is with 2 States Undecided.
I have become a bit of an armchair predictor with a decent record. I am not saying it is a shoe in, but the down-ticket and Senate gains will be huge.My gut tells me it will take the Dem's 20 years to recover from this cycle.
I would like to officially start the rumor that ILL-ANNOY is in play for Mittens, and Mr. Soetoro is down by 3. Any takers? Otherwise, might as well stay home.
Lost me 100% when they said Florida is leaning obama.
No way - we are going to toss him out on his butt.
Marquette poll=liberal biased
If Michigan is polling within 1-2 points in any poll that is reputable, Obama is toast.
Undecideds break 80-90% or more to the challenger... I am not worried about November, fight hard, don’t get lazy or complacent, but its not going to be close guys.
By October, the discussion won’t even be about the Presidential race, it will be whether the Republicans will get 60 seats in the Senate. Obama’s loss will be all but a foregone conclusion other than some propped up drama to sell papers and get ratings.