[norwaypinesavage]

"Such an event is exceedingly unlikely given history."

You mean like Reagan nocking off Carter, or Clinton knocking off Bush 41? It seems to me that it's more likely than not, based on recent history.

[muawiyah]

Like having your vote totals drop 15% from one election to the next ~ at the presidential election level.

Didn't happen to the losers you name ~ why should it happen to this loser.