I don’t think anyone else on the planet thinks he will “easily” win.
The district is worse but it’s still okay, I’d bet Bush still carried in 2004. But he is weak, Only the size of the wave in 2010 pulled him across, and if anything he is in a weaker position this time.
We should be thinking of who can win it back in 2014.
Would love to be wrong.
In 2010, Walsh won because of the Green Party candidate. Walsh beat Bean by about 300 votes, and the Green Party candidate got about 3000 votes.
However, his new district has a higher percentage of Republicans. Why do you think that Walsh might lose? His new district has few democrat elected officials.