Think I prefer the talking heads’ prevailing wisdom on this. The number-one reason Obama seems to edge out Romney is that this poll, like so many other exit polls, were dem-skewed. As the polling erred to dem advantage in other areas, so it erred on the presidential question.
What the true picture is....involves the independent voter who goes from one election to the next, and isn’t locked down to one party. The common sense approach to this election was that a recall was never a necessity. The independent voters really felt recall didn’t fit into the big picture of Wisconsin.
I think nothing clear comes out of this election over Romney. There is still a summer ahead, which involves the economy and jobs. At the current rate, conventional wisdom and a common sense approach will make the independent voters again go back and think through the process. If nothing is happening...it’s obviously time to change the direction of the country. So I don’t put much into the polling data.
this polling seems schizophrenic at the least. Could it be that those polled felt intimidated to say yes to Zer0?