[DAC21]

51% isn't that impressive IMO considering NC is fairly conservative, and the Gay Marriage Amendment just passed with 61% of the vote.

I wonder what the Ohio polling looks like?

[ScottinVA]

51% isn't that impressive IMO considering NC is fairly conservative, and the Gay Marriage Amendment just passed with 61% of the vote.

It is, considering:

1. Obama won it in 2008,

2. Blacks' opposition to homo "marriage" bolstered that 61% number, and

3. The lion's share of the undecided will flow to the challenger.

[FreeAtlanta]

I heard a lot of people say that if Obama doesn’t win North Carolina, then he can’t win re-election. “The won” will be “the loser”. or “Won and done”

[Hawthorn]

>> 51% isn’t that impressive <<

I’d say you’re looking at the wrong number. The poll shows that the Big Ø has only 43% — his bedrock base.

So let’s consider matters this way:

Given that “undecideds” typically break 2-to-1 against an incumbent, I calculate that the true figures look at least as high as 55% for Romney — a total that generally would qualify as a “landslide” for most political analysts.

Now let’s hope Rasmussen will make his way soon up into Virginia, where the percentages ought to be very close to those for NC, maybe just a point or two lower for Romney.