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METHODOLOGY:

Data for Rasmussen Reports survey research is collected using an automated polling methodology. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Generally speaking, the automated survey process is identical to that of traditional, operator-assisted research firms such as Gallup, Harris, and Roper. However, automated polling systems use a single, digitally-recorded, voice to conduct the interview while traditional firms rely on phone banks, boiler rooms, and operator-assisted technology.

For tracking surveys such as the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll or the Rasmussen Consumer Index, the automated technology insures that every respondent hears exactly the same question, from the exact same voice, asked with the exact same inflection every single time.

All Rasmussen Reports' survey questions are digitally recorded and fed to a calling program that determines question order, branching options, and other factors. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographic representation. Typically, calls are placed from 5 pm to 9 pm local time during the week. Saturday calls are made from 11 am to 6 pm local time and Sunday calls from 1 pm to 9 pm local time.

To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

After the surveys are completed, the raw data is processed through a weighting program to insure that the sample reflects the overall population in terms of age, race, gender, political party, and other factors. The processing step is required because different segments of the population answer the phone in different ways. For example, women answer the phone more than men, older people are home more and answer more than younger people, and rural residents typically answer the phone more frequently than urban residents.

For surveys of all adults, the population targets are determined by census bureau data.

For political surveys, census bureau data provides a starting point and a series of screening questions are used to determine likely voters. The questions involve voting history, interest in the current campaign, and likely voting intentions.

Rasmussen Reports determines its partisan weighting targets through a dynamic weighting system that takes into account the state’s voting history, national trends, and recent polling in a particular state or geographic area.

1 posted on 05/10/2012 9:24:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
It's going to take money to win this one.
2 posted on 05/10/2012 9:25:20 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The environment is too complex and too important to manage by central planning.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Walker ends up with 52% of the vote on June 5.


3 posted on 05/10/2012 9:27:17 AM PDT by Obadiah (Resist we much!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Does anyone seriously think the RAT party in the USSA is going to accept the results of this recall, if the RAT position loses?


4 posted on 05/10/2012 9:30:13 AM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

WI “PINGO”


6 posted on 05/10/2012 9:42:13 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The stench of Earth Pimp-age is permeating over the internet...)
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To: SeekAndFind

I strenuously object to the notion that a petition drive can force another showdown between candidates.

The step missing before that is for the voters to decide if there should be another election.

As it stands, this should be unconstitutional, and it should be challenged. A legitimate election is being overthrown by just a tiny percentage of those who voted in that election.

The petition should only allow a question to go before the voters: “Should there be another election for governor?” If another FULL ELECTORATE election decides to have another candidate showdown, then it should take place.


11 posted on 05/10/2012 9:54:10 AM PDT by xzins (Vote Goode not Evil (the lesser of 2 evils is still evil))
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To: SeekAndFind

I’ve been saying for the last few weeks that Walker will win by the same number (5%) as the 2010 election against Barrett.

After the primary I’m betting its closer to 10%. Why?

- blacks will not show in the big numbers needed for Barrett in a recall, their UE rate in the City of Milwaukee is near 50%!!

- a percentage of real leftist will sit this out. Barrett is basically Walker to them and they’d be better off hating Walker for the rest of his term and then get their candidate in 2014.

- the Dems are pivoting to jobs as their rallying cry for the recall. All Walker will have to say is “how is the mayor of a City with 10.4% unemployment, 50% AA UE, and has a 29% increase in UE over his 8 years qualified to say anything about jobs?”

- Barrett is counting on this John Doe investigation hurting Walker...a political dirty trick this late in the process will not go over well.

- colleges in WI will already be on summer break. There will not be an influx of students lining up to vote on election day

- voting patterns show that there were likely over 700K Republicans voting in the primary. A primary that a good chunk of WI residents had no idea that was taking place. Our resident “expert” Mordechi Lee here in Milwaukee was confidently saying that 95% of R primary voters would vote Falk and Walker votes would be minimal. He wasn’t even close!!!

The wave that is building up here?. The reason for so many votes in a primary? Heard it on the talk shows all day yesterday. We’ve had to sit here and take the lefts sh!t for 15 months now and we finally got our first chance to show support for Gov Walker in a way other than donations. There is no real historical explanation for this huge primary turnout here in WI other than the fact that we’re looking for scalps in this fight and we’re going to get every single one we want.

I think because of how charged up we are you’re going to see fervor on the left to continue to dissipate...

That night I’ll be drinking in celebration and likely having my wife keep me from going out in the street and telling all of my recall supporting neighbors to go and screw themselves... :)


21 posted on 05/10/2012 10:49:01 AM PDT by MNlurker
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To: SeekAndFind

It’ll be 55-45 Walker, if not better. Just like he beat Barrett before.

This will make it three times Barrett ran for Governor and lost. Barrett is a piece of soggy limp toast. Always has been.

You don’t win when your main reason for victory is because you hate the other guy. Almost always that isn’t enough. You have to have real reasons to vote FOR someone over another. Barrett has no reasons of his own why he’s better than Walker. “I’m not Walker” isn’t enough. Wasn’t last time either.


23 posted on 05/10/2012 10:52:38 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
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To: SeekAndFind; Thunder90; Obadiah; rcrngroup
Is this the official site in which to give $$$ to help Gov. Scott Walker?

http://istandwithwalker.com/

There seem to be several sites...

29 posted on 05/10/2012 11:11:07 AM PDT by nutmeg (Rest in peace, and thank you, Andrew Breitbart)
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To: SeekAndFind

I would not be surprised if Walker wins by 10 points. A lot of people lie to pollsters, especially in light of the violent threats from the union goons. I just want to see Ed Schultz’ head explode.


33 posted on 05/10/2012 11:48:27 AM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: SeekAndFind

I would not be surprised if Walker wins by 10 points. A lot of people lie to pollsters, especially in light of the violent threats from the union goons. I just want to see Ed Schultz’ head explode.


34 posted on 05/10/2012 11:48:27 AM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: SeekAndFind
Who can forget the not-so-subtle goonion threats last year against anyone who would not post a pro-union flyer on their business window?

These accounts, and many others, need to be held before the public's eyes constantly until the election. They need to witness what violent goons these Marxists are.

42 posted on 05/10/2012 12:37:11 PM PDT by fwdude
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To: SeekAndFind; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; ...

Wisconsin: Rasmussen release poll on Walder’s and Barret’s chances ping

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


47 posted on 05/10/2012 5:51:22 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: SeekAndFind

I think those guys called me the other night for their poll.


51 posted on 05/11/2012 6:34:26 AM PDT by Sopater (...where the Spirit of the Lord is, there is liberty. - 2 COR 3:17b)
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