All it takes is one social conservative, scripture quoting candidate to enter the race and play spoiler like Huckabee or Santorum and the remaining conservative vote splinters to pieces..
...but that same dynamic holds true for the lefty’s as well...we don’t see it this year because Obama is unopposed...next time around, I’m looking forward to the Dem’s and their internecine warfare to riddle their chances at the WH in 2016, at which time I believe if Jesus Himself were to run for them, they would be soundly defeated, because of their dissension...and they’ll be the ones making ridiculous comments on their blogs about ‘purity’ and ‘remaining true to liberal principle’ when their ideological soulmates are making quixotic clowns out of themselves by running up debt and finishing primaries with single digit numbers...
...it’s probably true that Obama wins a second term, and that Romney’s political career will be over after November, though of course anything is possible...but looking at the electoral college map, and the swing state’s polling data, Romney’s got a real mountain to climb...but if he does win, and the country doesn’t implode, it will be interesting to see what the posters on this forum have to say about him...
What? Are you referring to the Gallup/USAToday 'poll'?
The one that sampled "Registered voters" not "Likely voters"?
The one that included 7 Bobo-in-2008 states the GOP nom doesn't need to win? [CO, IA, MI, NH, NM, PA, WI]
PA & MI included as "swing states" when the last time those two of those large states went GOP was 1998?
Indiana excluded from a swing state poll despite going for Obama in 2008?
Here's what you need to know: The Electoral Math of 2012 greatly favors the challenger... 2008 + IN, NC, FL, NV, VA, OH = 271EV.