The Gallup Poll now has enough history for its measure of unemployment to seasonally adjust it. It shows, like the BLS number, a fall in the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/153761/Unemployment-Declines-March.aspx?ref=image
To be sure, the unemployment rate remains very high. Jobs growth is hardly enough to keep up with normal increase in the population. Labor force participation continues to shrink as people give up ever going back to work. And, the cost of living is rising.
It’s a pretty bad picture, but not so bad that we can presume that we will win in the fall.
Saving the House may be the only option left come November. Imagine what havoc he'll cause in the second half of his second term if he can re-attain large Dem majorities in Congress. There will be no brakes, not checks.