Are we completely sure that Newt is in third? Paul’s entire strategy is to collect stray delegates like deposit bottles. He may come to Tampa with more strength than Newt.
At best, Newt is the bronze medal winner who has enemies in the establishment and no support among women. Does he really think he is going to get the Convention to rally around him through some kind of world-changing speech?
If there is a brokered convention (which there isn’t going to be), it’s going to end up being Mitt or some complete wild card who everyone can agree on. And that person is more likely to be a Pawlenty or Jeb Bush than a Palin, I fear.
That is very true. For the record, Im not really a fan of any of them, but I probably like Paul the most. But the idea that someone could lose badly in the first delegate count, and then somehow win when the delegates are released was always just a fantasy.
I think Mitt is going to win it, regardless of brokered convention or not. Jeb came out and supported him, so it would be hard for him to seriously challenge Mitt at the nomination. Pawlenty ducked out early and endorsed Mitt. Daniels has said multiple times he doesnt want it, as has Christie. I cant see the convention bringing Palin or DeMint in. And I dont think many delegate types like Santorum on a personal level. I just dont see a scenario where it isnt Mitt. The problem is just saying that around some people makes them think you are a Romney fan.