Mitt Romney Wins Arizona and Michigan. Republican Primary Race is Far From Over

Catholic Online ^ | 2/29/12 | Keith A Fournier

[Norseman]

I’m curious if anyone else noticed the following:

Last night, when exit polls were released right after the polls closed, Santorum was up 5-6% in the two youngest age categories, and was UP 1% in the 50-64 yr-old category, while Romney was up 16 or 17% in the 65+ category, which comprised 25% of the voters. (Those are the numbers I saw last night, but didn’t take a screen shot, or write them down.)

Anyway, given that Romney had a huge lead among the early absentee balloting (15% or so, as I recall), putting 2+2 together, I wondered if Romney’s win came from his advance team hitting the nursing homes hard, gathering up early votes a hundred or so at a time. Given the exit poll results, that seemed a reasonable assumption.

However, the plot thickens. Perhaps someone realized that’s exactly what the exit polls indicated, i.e., that Romney gathered his votes from nursing homes in order to win, right out of the Dem playbook, because when I went back to check the exit polls again to verify the spreads, they had changed in one important category.

Now, the 50-64 yr-old category shows Romney winning by 2% instead of the 1% loss that was up there last night. All of a sudden it’s harder to ask the question, did Romney get his majority from the nursing homes? If anyone has the early exit poll results, particularly the total polled, which stands at 2200 today, please post them as a reply to this post. I still think that’s pretty much what happened, but it’s not quite so obvious with the change in the numbers today.