I hate to keep saying this but it is the truth, a brokered convention will not bring anyone new or outside to the table. The people who will be doing the brokering will be the party and precinct leadership and the delegates already loyal to one candidate or another. There will be no one brokering on behalf of any ‘outsider’ beyond maybe a handful. The result of a brokered convention will most likely be the most establishment friendly candidate.
Wishing for a Palin, Manning, West or whoever is about as likely as a unicorn pooping ice cream cones and just distracts us from the real battle in front of us.
I have to disagree. Newt wins the South + Santorum wins the Midwest + Romney wins the coast = Brokered Convention
No way either gets the needed number of votes.
Is anyone old enough to remember the 1952 Republican Convention? According to my mother, Robert Taft(senate Majority Leader) came to the convention with enough delegates to secure the nomination. It was very close. A few delegates from California assured Taft he had their vote. Eisenhower sent his manager to talk with the California delegation, headed by Earl Warren (barf). Ike promised he would appoint Earl warren to the first vacancy on the Supreme Court. Warren got all his delegates to vote for Ike, Taft lost by a couple votes. We got Earl Warren as Chief Justice of the Supreme court. This continued the ruin of the USA.
Oh don’t get my last post wrong, I completely agree with you.
It’s a matter of what kind of delegate coalition shows up at the convention.
If Romney can offer Rand Paul the VP slot as a means of securing the 100 or so whacko Paulbot delegates, he’ll do it. Because to Romney, it’s not about winning, it’s about securing the nomination that he feels is rightfully his turn.
Santorum needs to come to the convention with about 1,000 delegates and a backing of a 3rd of the Superdelegates. Given the make-up of the primaries, this is certainly doable. But it will be close if these contests stay close.