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Brazil has been a customer of Dassault products for decades. Their most recent serious defense related aerospace purchase was for ex-French M2000s.

I, an influential Brazilian defense procurement official, would continue to buy ex-French M2000s for the Brazilian air force replacing 40-year old Mirage IIIs (F-103s) and Northrop F-5s. I’d also be looking hard at ex-U.S. Navy/Marine Corps F-18A/Ds as replacements for the A-4 Skyhawks they are operating from their ex-French carrier. Considering their potential opponents, Venezuela, these would be more than enough.

However, a burgeoning Brazil looking for new kit with some serious political benefits from a VERY motivated seller.......Rafale is very likely. Dassault and the French government will hand over the keys for serious contracts. Not a bad, just reality. And, considering the recent Indian decision to purchase 126 Rafales for the IAF, the Rafale has gained some viability and longevity it previously couldn’t have dreamed of. The Rafale is now a very serious player on the future combat market.

Don’t be at all surprised if Brazil and Embraer choose a triangulated third path that provides them a serious technological, political, and economic off-set in return.

I’d also be looking hard at ex-U.S. Navy/Marine Corps F-18A/Ds as replacements for the A-4 Skyhawks

Probably not much of an option there. The Legacy Bug fleet has been run pretty hard due to the needs of the 10 years since 9/11. The Navy upgraded a bunch of F/A-18As (into A+ s) to replace some Cs, now they're both going to all Superbug VFAs in the airwings (CVW-5, for instance) as an interim step until the F-35 hits the fleet AND having the Marines looking to replace their F/A-18Ds with ex-RAF Harrier GR.9s.