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Final PPP NH poll: Romney 35, Paul 18, Huntsman 16, Gingrich 12, Santorum 11
PPP polling firm ^ | Jan 8th | ppp

Posted on 01/08/2012 8:31:13 PM PST by lilyfreeper

Santorum's so-called surge is all but gone. Huntsman is catching up.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 0socialists4santorum; 1percentperry; 2lazy2getonballot; 2ndammendment; 3timeloser; backstabberromney; banglist; bigdig4u; bigdigromney; biggovernment; bigideas; bigjewelry; biglobbyist; bigsofa; bigsolutions; bigspender; bishopromney; breakfastattiffanys; callista; contractwiththeearth; controversyloses; crybaby; didiscuzzy; ethics300k; fakepoll; fakepoll4romney; florida; freddienewt; globalwarming; globalwarmingbook; gunfreezonenewt; gunrights; larazarick; loserromney; lousyorganization; missouri; mrpiousbaloney; newhampshire; newt1996lautenberg; newt4iowa; newtlautenberg; nhpollprimary; notonballot; pieazzdoughboy; piousadulterer; piousbaloney; polarizingissues; popegingrich; reasonableguncontrol; romneybotalert; romneycare4u; romneyfakepoll; romneypropaganda; southcarolina; thephoneyromney; virginia; whino
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To: Prokopton

Why don’t we focus on the candidate best positioned to challenge Obama AND most committed to the conservative cause...which would be Jon Huntsman. Thank our lucky stars he is trending like mad in New Hampshire with the best day of the campaign just two days before voting - we NEED him.


101 posted on 01/09/2012 12:17:47 PM PST by erlayman
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To: lilyfreeper

Two words: Open Primary.

With no contest on the Dem side, lefties are coming over to vote for Willard. They want Romney so they can make Bain the Bane of Romney in the general.


102 posted on 01/09/2012 1:11:17 PM PST by CASchack
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To: lilyfreeper

Florida, New Hampshire... LOL! Gingrich is the only real American candidate. As for the socialists in and retired from all levels of government, the default process continues regardless of their political desires. Bond collapse, interest rate hikes, layoffs, pension cuts...it’s on the way. Starve the B, and finish her off.


103 posted on 01/09/2012 1:35:17 PM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the planet.)
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To: Engraved-on-His-hands
Unfortunately this poll is fairly consistent with other recent New Hampshire polls, except for showing a moderate surge for Huntsman and a slight surge for Santorum.

It is consistent with the Suffolk tracking poll taken on the same days, Saturday and Sunday.

The Suffolk poll shows a big drop in Romney's support over the past week, from 43% to 33%, and over the past few days a rise in Huntsman's numbers and a slight uptick in Santorum/Gingrich as undecideds pick their choice.

Latest poll represents interviews from Jan 3rd and 4th
Release date Jan 1 Jan 2 Jan 3 Jan 4 Jan 5 Jan 6 Jan 7 Jan 8 Jan 9
Romney 41 43 43 43 41 40 39 35 33
Paul 15 17 16 14 18 17 17 20 20
Huntsman 9 9 10 7 7 8 9 11 13
Gingrich 11 8 9 9 7 9 10 9 11
Santorum 3 3 5 6 8 11 9 8 10
Perry 2 2 2 1 0 1 1 1 1
Roemer       1 1 0 0 1 2
Karger       1 0 0   0 0
Bachmann 3 2 2 2 1 na na na na

104 posted on 01/09/2012 1:43:33 PM PST by Crichton
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To: fortheDeclaration
So now Huntsman is going to be the flavor the month?

It appears to me that he's taking support from Romney and from undecideds.

The best thing for the GOP would be a split field right through the convention, with Ron Paul(!!) forcing the party to select a better option as standard bearer.

105 posted on 01/09/2012 1:54:16 PM PST by Crichton
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To: lilyfreeper

Santorum’s numbers have been climbing, though it’s not surprising that he has little chance of actually winning. New Hampshire is the opposite of Iowa when it comes to strong Christian conservatives, and there’s no reason not to suspect a repeat of what happened to Huckabee here.

Fortunately, Rick knows this. Where he has a chance to shine is in South Carolina. Suggesting he is losing support in New Hampshire, where his current position is the strongest it has ever been there - is creating a false dialog.

Romney’s numbers have been fluctuating at the high 20’s, low 30’s for a while now. The most recent up-ticks, in the range of 1 or 2 points, have been for Huntsman (who is still stuck in the low teens), Paul, and Gingrich. Barring a catastrophic change, I still expect Romney to carry it with Paul and Gingrich vying for 2nd place.

In other words, pretty much as predicted for a while now.


106 posted on 01/09/2012 3:11:27 PM PST by COgamer
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To: COgamer

With the way the polls are going, including this PPP poll and Suffolk tracking, which have relatively similar numbers, I expect Romney to win, but with less than 35% of the vote, possibly as low as the upper 20’s, considering that the tracking shows the momentum is heavily against Romney. Momentum can sometimes make a 5-10 point difference between the polls and the actual results. Momentum has stalled for Rick Santorum and Ron Paul, and Perry never had much momentum in New Hampshire to start. Gingrich doesn’t have much, but Huntsman is surging.

What we need to watch in these polls is less the numbers and more about momentum.

Given this, I’ll predict that the result will be:
Mitt Romney-30%
Jon Huntsman-22
Ron Paul-19
Newt Gingrich-15
Rick Santorum-10
Rick Perry-2
Other-2

Result: Momentum shifts to Huntsman and Gingrich into the South Carolina primary. Romney loses a chunk of his voters to Huntsman, who is basically Mitt Romney without some of the more egregious baggage. That will basically put Romney out of the running in South Carolina, where Perry will be given his final chance to eek out a miracle and will make or break Santorum (I suspect break). The favorite in SC will be Gingrich.

It’s basically all downhill for Ron Paul from here on out. The next time he will be even approaching 20% will be in the Nevada Caucuses next month, which he has a small shot at actually winning if Romney is falling and Huntsman splits the Mormon and RINO voting blocs there.


107 posted on 01/09/2012 5:16:17 PM PST by RecoveringPaulisto
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To: lilyfreeper

GO HUNTSMAN!!!

I mean have you seen his daughters??

Talk about producing opportunity...


108 posted on 01/09/2012 6:23:28 PM PST by bigheadfred
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To: lilyfreeper
Isn't it about time for Buddy Roemer's surge?

http://www.buddyroemer.com/

109 posted on 01/09/2012 6:45:42 PM PST by JediJones
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To: Diogenesis
1 Parley Parker PRATT b: 12 APR 1807 d: 13 MAY 1857
..+ Mary WOOD b: 18 JUN 1818 d: 5 MAR 1898
....2 Helaman PRATT b: 31 MAY 1846 d: 26 NOV 1909
......+ Anna Dorothea Johanna WILCKEN b: 25 JUL 1854 d: 22 JUN 1929
........3 Anna Amelia PRATT b: 6 MAY 1876 d: 4 FEB 1926
..........+ Gaskell ROMNEY b: 22 SEP 1871 d: 9 MAR 1955
............4 George Wilcken ROMNEY b: 8 JUL 1907 d: 26 JUL 1995
..............+ Lenore Emily LAFOUNT b: 9 NOV 1908 d: 7 JUL 1998
................5 Willard Mitt ROMNEY b: 12 MAR 1947
..+ Belinda MARDEN b: 24 DEC 1820 d: 19 FEB 1894
....2 Isabella Eleanor Marden PRATT b: 1 SEP 1854 d: 23 APR 1912
......+ Franklin Alonzo ROBISON b: 19 JUL 1851 d: 17 OCT 1936
........3 Joseph Alfred ROBISON b: 1 NOV 1876 d: 23 JUN 1950
..........+ Mary Elizabeth KEITH b: 17 AUG 1875 d: 7 MAR 1925
............4 Sarah Kathleen ROBISON b: 4 DEC 1910 d: 8 APR 1969
..............+ Alonzo Blaine HUNTSMAN b: 5 OCT 1910 d: 23 JUN 1990
................5 Jon Meade HUNTSMAN b: 1937
..................+ Karen Christina HAIGHT b: 24 MAR 1938
....................6 Jon Meade HUNTSMAN, Jr, b: 26 MAR 1960

Parley Pratt was shot and stabbed to death in Arkansas by the legal husband of Pratt's 12th wife.


110 posted on 01/09/2012 8:39:35 PM PST by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: Brown Deer

Obviously the even vote in Dixville Notch : Romney 2, Huntsman 2 ... is related to this LOL


111 posted on 01/09/2012 9:41:09 PM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: erlayman

Damn straight!

The Ron Paul internal polling must look pretty interesting right now. They seem to be a bit anxious about Huntsman.


112 posted on 01/09/2012 11:41:35 PM PST by Tredegar (Huntsman 2012 - Qualifications, Experience and Expertise, MATTER)
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