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The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways.

That's not enough this year, because the GOP has adopted proportional delegates. Romney can't end this fast like the vile McCain did in 2008. This thing could remain a 4-way race through May. Perry and Paul have plenty of cash to stay. Unprecedented.

Something to think about is 1/2 of Americans now support legalization of medical marijuana. You have to assume a bunch of those people support legalization period. And you might also assume that Ron Paul might have a lot of support from that community, considering he wants to legalize pot.

That gives him support from a variety of upscale republican smokers, closet conservative/smokers, hippies, collegiate smokers, and independent smokers.

You may laugh but I think this reflects a lot of his support. I sure do. I can think of no other reason a band of gypsies follows him around like the Grateful Dead.