[Anitius Severinus Boethius]

It’s time to start looking State by State.

Indiana, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia all look to be falling out of Obama’s column. That leaves Ohio and one TBA.

If Obama loses the four above, and he loses Ohio, all we have to do is drop one more from his column. Wisconsin, Nevada, Colorado, New Hampshire, Michigan, Minnesota, Iowa or Pennsylvania are are States that could be considered “flippers”, and are all States he needs to heavily defend.

It won’t be “easy”, but the path to victory (at least in the EC math) is pretty straight forward: Flip Ohio and one other, or flip any 3 from that list and Obama cannot win.

[TheWriterTX]

Florida will not go for Obama. Their foreclosure rate is horrendous. Too many people worse off then 4 years ago.

It will be close, but I'm confident in a slim R victory.

[StAnDeliver]

I believe ALL of the states you cited flip, and the GOP wins ugly in 2012, because Americans want to breathe again, instead of worrying about what crazy scheme Mac Daddy is trying to hook up.