This is a sneaky strategy. He should win the smoking and tobacco growing States:
The chart of Top Producing Tobacco States supports this contention. North Carolina has the most tobacco acreage by far and ranks as the 14th highest smoking state. Kentucky, the 2nd largest tobacco producer, ranks 3 in the nation for highest per cent of its population being smokers. Virginia and Connecticut appear to be outliers.
Also check the map at this site - very smart targeting!
http://blog.bestandworststates.com/2010/02/10/smoking-states-and-tobacco-producing-states.aspx
ping FYI