Posted on 10/06/2011 12:04:37 AM PDT by DRey
While Cain is likely to hit a ceiling in the near future, he’s effectively dug into Perry’s base and helped expose the frontrunner’s weakness. Fracturing the anti-Romney vote has made it all the easier for Romney to win.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Posted yesterday.
Since Cain is the only GOP candidate with coherent, understandable plans and has a great presence in the debates and in one on one interviews, he is going to totally knock Perry out and leave Mittens in the dust.
Sure he will hit a ceiling, but it will be above 50%.
So far I think it’s been mostly Santorum who’s been knocking Perry out in the debates, though Cain’s succeeded more in capitalizing on Perry’s decline.
Looks like it’s deep-sh*t time.
What ceiling would that be?
Finally getting his name in the print and broadcast media?
“Dems and GOP establishment feverishly working to get Romney elected any way they can...this time...”
This helps explain why Cain is finally getting a fair amount of coverage and most of it is neutral or positive. They figure he wont go the distance, but can serve a good purpose for now.
HOWEVER, I think the GOP establishment and the MSM have severely underestimated our desire to nominate a TRUE conservative this time around. This is why Romney can’t get much above 25% in any of the polls.
IMHO, with the field pretty well set at this point, it will likely go one of two ways:
-Cain will continue to move up in the polls and become the conservative standard-bearer, going on to “shock the world” and win the nomination.
-Perry will rebound and re-take the frontrunner spot from Cain/Romney and go on to win the nomination.
If I had to bet my life on it, I would say the second scenario is more likely, simply because Perry has the money, organization, and recognition that Romney is not a true conservative to fight to the finish and take the nomination. I’m not convinced that Cain has any of these 3 yet.
One big caveat though-Perry has got to turn around his debate performances, pronto. This is the big wild card. I’m not sure that he can. He can practice and come up with answers to the issues that trouble conservatives, but can he give answers that show true depth and understanding of various issues? So far, I haven’t seen that he can. I hope he can get this part of his game turned around.
As for the idea (by the WaPost and others) that Cain will play the spoiler and keep Perry from beating Romney, I just don’t think that’s gonna happen this year. There is such motivation to make sure Romney is not the nominee that I think as the primaries progress, conservatives will rally around whoever looks to be the one candidate that can beat Romney-whichever one that happens to be.
Oh-and the “who is more electable against Obama” argument is becoming less relevant every day. With O’s approvals in the upper 30s to lower 40s, it seems clear that almost any of the candidates in the field can beat him, and I definitely think Perry or Cain can beat Obama-likely in a landslide.
I’m not ready to coronate Perry yet. Significant questions exist for fiscal, social and immigration conservatives. That he supported Al Gore in 1990 raises big red flags for me.
Perry has the money to outlast Cain—if Perry shows he has the stuff to be president. So the whining about Cain splitting the conservative base seems mostly like, well, whining. If Perry cannot prevail for the conservative vote against a badly underfunded candidate, he probably cannot beat Zero.
I say let the best man win—and his intials are not MR.
Personally, I think there's too much emphasis being placed on who our candidate is going to be.
We need to start working on electing more Tea Partiers to The House and Senate as a hedge against a Romney or a Perry presidency.
That's how it has appeared to me for some time. I've done a 180 on Romney in the last five years, and am now sickened by the way the game - including the non-debate "debates" - is being manipulated in his favor. Money can't buy you love, but if you spend enough of it over time, it can buy you a nomination.
(Having the other party's support doesn't hurt.)
Mr. niteowl77
Cain has a snowball’s chance in hell of winning the the primary. IMO he’s nothing but a good soldier who was chosen to bloody Perry, to remove the only competition from Romney, and he did his job well. I wouldn’t be surprised if he were selected to be Romney’s VP as a reward, after all he made no bones about supporting Romney. You Cain bots are being had, but carry on, and in the end, your mania will have a direct hand in nominating Romney.
Agree with your assessment in number 8. I am currently for Cain but I will not bash Perry. I will switch to whatever candidate looks to have the best chance to beat Romney.
Romney is the clear and present danger right now, let’s eliminate him first. As you stated about Obama, “it seems clear that almost any of the candidates in the field can beat him”
“the race is on” among Romney, Perry and Cain. It ill behooves us to be bashing either Cain or Perry at this point.
We got to measure Santorum when he chose Spector over Toomey.
IMO he’s nothing but a good soldier who was chosen to bloody Perry, to remove the only competition from Romney, and he did his job well.
###
Your statement does not compute. Cain declared for the Presidency a long time ago before Perry decided to run.
This is a vetting process, don’t make up conspiracy theories. Cndidates will sink or swim on their own merits. Let the process happen.
Thanks for reminding me to send Cain another donation!
“IMO he’s nothing but a good soldier who was chosen to bloody Perry,”
Really, Who knew Perry was even going to run when Cain anounced he was in last year. That statement is reeks of ignorance.
I think Perry has knocked Perry out of the debates. He really doesn’t look ready for prime time in those. Not smooth and confident at all.
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