2012 Presidential Matchups Obama 39% Cain 34%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | Wednesday, September 28, 2011 | Rasmussen

[Rudder]

Herman Cain did well in last week’s GOP debate and won a decisive straw poll victory in Florida, but his numbers in a general election match-up against President Obama are little changed.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds that Obama earns 39% support while Cain attracts 34%. In that match-up, 14% prefer some other candidate, and 14% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

A month ago, the president led Cain by seven percentage points. In March Obama held an 18 point advantage over the businessman and talk show host.

Data released earlier today shows that voters nationwide are evenly divided as to whether or not Cain is qualified to be president — 30% say yes, 33% no, and 37% are not sure. Republicans, by a 49% to 17% margin believe he is qualified while most Democrats disagree. Among Republicans, Cain’s numbers on this question are similar to Rick Perry’s but not as strong as Mitt Romney’s.

[Rudder]

Republicans, by a 49% to 17% margin believe he is qualified while most Democrats disagree. Among Republicans, Cain’s numbers on this question are similar to Rick Perry’s but not as strong as Mitt Romney’s.

We have a winner, here!

[nathanbedford]

Drudge has put the results of the Rasmussen poll up and I think the take away should be not to concentrate on Herman Cain but to look at the trajectory as one sees the sequence of polls beginning on June 24 when Obama was beating Gingrich 48% to 30% right on through to this last poll which he dates at in which Obama finds his margin reduced to 39% 34% over Cain.

My take is that one could substitute virtually any Republican wannabe's name in these last few polls and one would obtain substantially the same results because Obama is crashing and whoever Rasmussen puts up against him last is the greatest beneficiary.

It is my hypothesis that the less we have the fear on the issue of electability the wider our scope to nominate a hard conservative. I take this as bad news for Romney, good news for Cain, of course, but also good news for Rick Santorum, Bachmann, and, yes, Newt Gingrich.

[Aria]

Rats don’t think Cain is qualified but they thought zero was qualified? That is STUPID!

[Retired Greyhound]

Barring a major gaffe or dirty skeleton in his closet, I think Cain is going to win Iowa, be competitive in New Hampshire, and win South Carolina BIG. If that happens, he will probably win Florida. The GOP establishment will try to derail him on Super Tuesday, but it will probably be too late.

That, FRiends, is Herman Cain’s path to the nomination.

[ari-freedom]

doesn’t take much to give people money you can just tax and borrow

[ari-freedom]

he’s got a lot of work cut out for him. But we’re going to try as much as we can so he can make a difference.

[Vigilanteman]

Considering that two-thirds of the country hasn't even heard of Herman Cain yet, I would consider that the 34% would break down as follows:

1. 25% know him, like him and expect he would make a great POTUS.
   
2. 9% expect that an unknown cartoon character would do a better job that ObaMao.

[freeangel]

“The GOP establishment will try to derail him on Super Tuesday, but it will probably be too late.”

Prayers and money should help. Get on the Cain train!

[LostInBayport]

It is still early yet, with more than a year to the election. Many people aren’t paying close attention to the Republican primaries, and Herman Cain has had to struggle until just recently to get media coverage. And Herman Cain is within five points of Obama among likely voters in this poll.

Imagine when the nation at large becomes aware of Herman Cain and gets to know him! What’s the phrase? Katy bar the door!

[freespirited]

IMO Obummer’s failure to crack 40% is the big story here. Cain’s number is good given that many people know nothing about him.

[ChildOfThe60s]

Rats don’t think Cain is qualified but they thought zero was qualified? That is STUPID!

Bumbling, stuttering, no job experience (D) = brilliant

Articulate, successful, patriotic (R) = dimwit

You have understand how to judge qualifications. (D) is the only qualification that matters.

[SueRae]

That’s what I got.

0bama is only 39% against Cain and the only one under 40%). He polls better by at least 6% points against any other candidate.

And it’s early. :-)

[justsaynomore]

Exactly - Cain has 50% name recognition prior to the last debate and FL poll win. Obama has 100%. It will be interesting to see what the next few months bring

[Retired Greyhound]

Iowa loves upstarts, and Cain has a good ground game. His supporters are loyal. Everyone that sees him in person converts, so to speak.

[cuban leaf]

—That, FRiends, is Herman Cain’s path to the nomination.—

One can hope.

I remember the first I ever heard of him was my wife reading an article about him. I said he sounded really good. And she said, “Tt’s not the best part, look.” And she showed me a picture of him. I started laughing out loud. the race card, the only one they have, will have to be turned into an “Uncle Tom” card. That will not play well.

If Cain can get past the “electability” naysayers, he will be our next president.

[Rudder]

Katy, Bar the Door!

And sign up to support Cain here:

[RockinRight]

IT means basically this:

Obama is getting 39% no matter what. Since over 25% didn’t commit to either Obama or Cain, those voters are Cain’s for the grabbing...it’s a name recognition thing more than anything.

Considering the name recognition issue, if Cain’s only 5 pts behind Obama NOW...HE CAN BEAT HIM.

[RockinRight]

I don’t like race even being part of it, but it is, whether we like it or not.

Cain has the right approach. He seems to believe (from his words) that, in and of itself, he doesn’t believe race should be an issue, but he also knows that it is, and will address the question directly when asked.

With someone like West or Rubio (I’d prefer Rubio honestly, he’s a Senator) as a running mate, the racial aspect is destroyed, and maybe, just maybe, we can focus on the issues.

[nathanbedford]

I agree. If an incumbent cannot get 50% in the early polling he is very likely toast because the undecideds will break for the challenger, providing the challenger does not shoot himself in the foot. In this case Rasmussen tells us that Obama cannot get even 40%.

My point is that these numbers are probably not specific to Herman Cain only bought are probably applicable to most of the Republican wannabes.

[Sea Parrot]

So Cain, a declared candidate, is 5 points behind Obama in the polls. Hmm, that is exactly the same as how a undeclared ex governor matches up against Obama.