If PPP has him up two, it’s probably 10. They suck.
Should we count it as ‘in the bag’ or work for it?
Actually PPP did better than Rasmussen in predicting Governor and Senate outcomes in Nov. 2010 (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/). So I wouldn’t dismiss them out of hand.
But it’s way too early to predict what the outcome will be. This is just a snapshot in time. People aren’t paying attention now, let alone seriously considering whom they’ll vote for.