Posted on 05/12/2011 7:14:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Everyone knows Newt Gingrichs liabilities. The question as he embarks on his presidential run is whether he can overcome them with his undeniable talent for formulating and communicating a compelling policy message.
The secret to winning the Republican nomination is going to be talking about the future and ideas and solutions. Thats something Newts been doing for 15 years, so as long as he can be future-oriented, I think he has a very good chance of winning the nomination, says GOP strategist Scott Reed.
This race is wide open, says Greg Mueller, a Republican strategist and president of CRC Public Relations. Theres no clear frontrunner. You take somebody with Newts intellectual ability on the issues, his political savvy, and put him in the debates and out on the campaign trail, and if he works real hard in the early states, I think you have to consider him a serious candidate.
Gingrich has a penchant for making grand statements on the nations challenges. With the stakes so high, Gingrichs sweeping pronouncements on the historical moment may resonate.
I think that hes got a sense of history about him that enables him to articulate a message with a lot of depth, says Vin Weber, a former congressman who worked with Gingrich in the House. I think right now Republicans are looking to put this election in context. They feel a full, strong historic sense of the country being at a crossroads. I think Newts always really been able to frame issues in their broader context better than most and he will be an important voice in this campaign for that reason.
Then, there are the debates. He would probably shine in that environment. Hell earn a lot of applause, comments Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginias Center for Politics.
Republican pollster David Winston thinks Gingrich will benefit as the primary elections near, and voters shift from focusing on personality to focusing on policy. Where the electorate is actually plays to his strengths. Given their focus on whats occurring in this country and their concerns, they want to hear from candidates how theyd solve these problems. That goes directly to his strengths, he says, adding that voters will ultimately consider personality a secondary factor in their decision about which candidate to support.
Gingrich must hope so. Hes already struggled to live down his three marriages and past infidelity. On the political side, former enthusiasms will haunt him for example, shooting a commercial with House minority leader Nancy Pelosi touting the need to address climate change, and his support for ethanol subsidies. He has the disadvantage of being a longtime Washington player at a time when the Republican electorate wants someone new and fresh.
Gingrich has been on the public radar screen for close to 20 years, Sabato notes. People have a strong sense of him. And not necessarily to the good: Sabato points out that polls consistently give Gingrich higher unfavorables than favorables.
Aside from reframing his past, Gingrich will also have to temper his inclination to react and overreact to every event. Newts biggest challenge will be message discipline staying focused on a campaign message and not just reacting to the daily news, says one GOP strategist. Newt is always the smartest guy in the room, but he doesnt need to remind everybody of that every day.
Gingrich enters the race with plenty of baggage, despite his status as an elder statesman of the party and his undoubted brilliance. You go back to Newt [in] 1994, when nobody thought Republicans had a chance of winning the House. He fundamentally changed the direction of the country, Winston points out. This is a person who has proved pundits wrong before.
Hell have to do so again, and if he does, it will likely be a triumph of his message over all else.
Katrina Trinko is an NRO staff reporter.
To the headline: zero.
FUNG.
Gingrich is a criminal narcissist. He only thinks about himself and cares not for the survival of the nation. He is a wuss.
We had contract of America from him, fully knowing he would not enforce it and do his part for it, he engaged people to vote for him, premeditatively. Now he talks global warming and big government and then flip flops around.
IF there is one thing worse than a gay liberal, it’s a gay conservative fascist. They are full of it and completely compromised in their own ideals of “looking good and conservative on the one hand” and yet going into the cookie jar and indulging like some swine artist.
“Gingrich is a criminal narcissist”
Well, I don’t know about criminal.
The race IS “wide open” but Gingrich’s chances are slim and none. Same as Romney’s.
Newt was my rep when he was Speaker. He can be very intelligent and provide some excellent ideas. He was the primary architect of the GOP victory in ‘94. Unfortunately, he has also shown that he has RINO blood in him. Whomever the GOP candidate is, I will support them against the foreign uruper, no matter how much I may dislike them. A caretaker RINO is far better than a proven marxist who has designs on becoming a dictator and hates this Country.
Did I say he has “problems”?
I’m with you......Newt and his other women chaps me.....I’ll never get over his being by Peeloosley’s side discussing climate change and Hellary’s side discussing gooberment health care. Does he have no shame???? :)
I have always thought that poor Newt suffers from the “Little Man Syndrome”.
“Gingrich is a criminal narcissist. He only thinks about himself and cares not for the survival of the nation.”
I couldn’t agree more.
Narcissism must be a very debilitating disorder. How else can you explain a man as seemingly intelligent as Newt Gingrich not seeing how futile his run for the presidency will be? Perhaps he so desperately needs to be in the spotlight and feel relevant that he’ll run a doomed campaign merely to get his fix?
I think Gingrich, like many before him, is running for a cabinet post. In his case, *any* cabinet post. He’s been twiddling his thumbs for a while and wants back into the game. But he brings nothing to the table.
The next Republican president should make him the ambassador to France. Especially if Marine Le Pen becomes prime minister.
Newt has good ideas....impressive ideas but could he be trusted to stay away from the dark side? I dunno.....and I don’t think I could take 4 or 8 years of hearing “Clista and I”.....good grief! :(
It does no good to denigrate Newt Gingrich and then march away in self-righteous anger, we must actually select someone better. It is easy to run him down but not so easy to defend another candidate by comparison.
RE: I think Gingrich, like many before him, is running for a cabinet post. In his case, *any* cabinet post.
OK, put him in charge of the budget (OMB). That’ll keep him out of social issues which will make his personal life a liability.
Allen West is my first choice. I would like to vote for Sarah but I don’t think she will run. Of course, West said he won’t run either. We probably won’t have a strong candidate - again.
It is only fair that ANY/ALL of Newt’s personal/marital issues be ignored in assessing HIS chances. Lets look at professional abilities and experience ONLY!
After all ... the last two Democratic presidents have combined personal and social flaws and objectionable associations enough (and all the bull s^%$ lying and white-wash that go with it) which should have/but didnt keep THEM out of the running with ANY truly wholesome and clean living voter base.
The Liberal voter base is NOT wholesome and clean living... or Billy Boy and “O” would never have been considered much less nominated and ELECTED!
Conservatives are far from squeaky clean themselves and MUST cease in their infantile expectation of personal faultlessness in likely candidates (the expectation of which Liberals themselves have long since abandoned-WITH success). If Conservatives play this game and insist on immaculate personalities and tidy personal histories, while Liberals laugh in their sleeves, it will be donkeys years before another Conservative is in the WH!
RE: Conservatives are far from squeaky clean themselves and MUST cease in their infantile expectation of personal faultlessness in likely candidates
Just a question -— why can’t we have someone who is realtively squeaky clean in his personal life AND competent on the issues? (I’m not talking about saintliness, I’m talking about someone who at least does not cheat on his/her spouse).
Is such a person such a rare bird nowadays that we have to settle for this now?
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