Obama got 365 electoral votes last time.
Chances of him re-winning the following states are remote at best: Florida (27), Ohio (20), N.Carolina (15), Va. (13), Indiana (11), Wisconsin (10).
That’s a total of 96 electoral votes which leaves Obama with 269 electoral votes - shy one vote of the presidency.
The east and west coast may give him the popular vote.
But presidents are elected in the Electoral College.
God thank the Founders for that.
Thanks. I was waiting for a link and its as I expected.
I think Sabato relies too heavily on past polling. The winds have shifted dramatically here in the midwest.
The GOP candidate, unless it’s some horrible candidate, can pretty much count on winning Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio and Indiana. Probably New Hampshire too which swung back to the GOP in 2010. Nevada and Colorado are iffy. But these normally red states Obama won in 2008 will be back to red in 2012 without much doubt.