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To: george76
If over the next 24 months there is not pension reform, the munis are in trouble

So they are safe now?
12 posted on 03/17/2011 3:39:18 AM PDT by Son House (Finally, People Lie, Because They Feel If They Tell The Truth, They Won't Get What They Want.)
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To: Son House

Munis are “safe” in the near term because very few general obligation bonds are at risk of near-term payment default, because of inability to make interest payments, or to refinance maturities.

A few years out, it gets worse: as the “hump” of retirees approaches, the munipal bond market will start to demand higher interest rates for new long-dated municipals, and might eventually refuse to buy them at any price. This will drive interest expenses higher and weighted average maturities shorter, and eventually some municipalities will hae payment defaults, and many others will face terrible choices in terms of budget cuts and tax increases.


14 posted on 03/17/2011 3:57:45 AM PDT by only1percent
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