Ron Paul “wins” the CPAC straw poll - WITH 30%.
Translation - A big majority - 70% - voted for someone - anyone, other than Paul.
How many of that 70% is likely to join the Ron Paul minority by primary election time? Next to none.
So what is the Ron Paul straw poll victory mean - it’s a “victory” of limited and transient value, AT BEST.
It’s a plurality.
Also, if you add in “second choice” balloting: Ron Paul and Gary Johnson combined for well over 50%.