And yet look at his electoral results. Some of the largest victories ever--again and again.
Well, if the 45% are evenly dispersed, they will lose in most states.
This was at one point of time early in his tenure.
Likely the Dems saw the polls and ramped up the propoganda machine and never looked back. I wouldn't be surprised if the "October Surprise" was invented around this time.
The book deals with that subject as well.
The author discusses how WPA and other monies were dispersed in critical swing states, how various departments used those funds to promote their chosen candidates and how those who were assigned jobs were expected to make contributions to the Democrats. They also tell of large amounts of cash dispersed or jobs offered in late September to October time frame, only to have those jobs go away in December.
I also suggest a reading of the book.