Sorry, I meant that statement to read as being incredulous that so much attention is given to voters who lack convictions.
After all, we’re told towards the end of every election that a large percentage of independents haven’t made up their minds when we’re a week or so out - and that we’ll know more when the great thinkers break for a candidate.
Lo and behold, if they start breaking for the Repub, we can then expect an October surprise that will undoubtedly force them to go back into thinker mode.
Now here we are 2 years out from an election and Rove already knows how independents feel about Sarah?
Unfortunately I can’t prove it, but I have a theory that a percentage of “independents who haven’t made up their minds” is a smokescreen for fraud that may be attempted if everything lines up. :-)
It is very early. I believe Giuliani was the front runner for the GOP nomination in December of 2007.
So a lot can change once the primary gets closer and more and more voters start paying attention. Right now everyone is answering these polls based on name recognition.
It’s going to be a large field. There will be 10-12 candidates. Some are pretenders and will drop quickly. Some will stay in it for awhile. A problem Palin may run into is Ron Paul. If he runs he will unlikely bow out early. If you remember in 2008, Paul stayed in the race for the entire primary process even though McCain already won enough delegates. Paul has the potential to split the Tea Party vote and that could de-rail Palin. Because Ron Paul has some very loyal supporters and many of them are part of the Tea Party.