2010 General Election Write-in Counting Instructions
2010 General Election Absentee and Questioned Ballot Count Schedule
- Tuesday, 11/9 - Early votes from Election Day and Absentee ballots
- Friday, 11/12 - Questioned ballots
- Monday, 11/15 - Absentee and/or questioned ballots
- Tuesday, 11/16 - Absentee and/or questioned ballots
- Wednesday, 11/17 - Special Advance (overseas) ballots
So Calex, according to Deport’s schedule posted, they have counted some absentees, but best we know, and according to what Joe Miller himself said just yesterday, there are about 8,000 additional ballots, plus many late arriving military/overseas ballots to arrive between now and Wed.
I would think that many of those 8,000 are overseas/military votes (later arriving is my rationale for saying that) and that will favor Miller, as will votes coming in this week.
If Miller gains 6000 to 4000 advantage, or 7000 to 3000 advantage on these military votes (and many here think that may be realistic) then he will be up by 1,000 to 3,000 votes or so as murky’s uncontested percentage across 98,565 ‘write-in’ ballots is currently 89.58%.
98,565 * 89.58% = 88,295 and Miller currently has 87,517 votes. That means 778 UNCONTESTED votes will separate the two if murky’s percentage holds steady. (84% of ‘write-ins’ have already been counted - so likely murky’s uncontested vote percentage will hold steady.)
Actually, this schedule was changed up...that isn’t true any longer except for the Military Absentees.