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1 posted on 10/31/2010 9:34:33 AM PDT by Qbert
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To: Qbert

Most of the independents are historically Democratic-leaning. That’s why Democrats have won nearly all statewide races since the 1990s in California.


2 posted on 10/31/2010 9:37:11 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Qbert

The voter spread in California is over 10% Dem to Rep, so this could be good news. Dems who are fed up but haven’t re-registered could easily be 4%


3 posted on 10/31/2010 9:41:41 AM PDT by DaxtonBrown (HARRY: Money Mob & Influence (See my Expose on Reid on amazon.com written by me!))
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To: Qbert

Simply getting a mail-in ballot from a Democrat doesn’t necessarily indicate he actually voted for Democrats! Many of ‘em may have actually woken up to reality;)


4 posted on 10/31/2010 9:42:07 AM PDT by Frank_2001
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To: Qbert

I’ve already filled out my mail-in ballot but I don’t trust the postal service employees so I will be walking the ballot in to my polling place on Tuesday. Call me paranoid but I don’t put it past postal service employees to open mailed-in ballots and discard the ones that vote for the wrong people.


5 posted on 10/31/2010 9:43:48 AM PDT by vbmoneyspender
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To: Qbert
You've got to assume that Republicans will win a majority of Independent voters this year.

No you don't, unless you want to be wrong. This is California, not a swing state like Ohio or Pennsylvania. Independent CA voters might break for Meg & Carly, but the probability of that falls far short of "you've GOT to assume".

In the majority of cases, an "independent" voter is just one who's too self-delusional or gutless to admit that they really are a Democrat/liberal. Yes, there are some solid conservatives out there who don't want the "R" label (but still vote that way when push comes to shove) and call themselves independent, but that's the much less common case.

6 posted on 10/31/2010 9:43:48 AM PDT by PermaRag (the stock market will stop bleeding when those who manipulate it START bleeding)
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To: Qbert

We won’t know who will win until some time Wednesday when they fish the last ballots out of The Bay.


11 posted on 10/31/2010 10:04:11 AM PDT by InABunkerUnderSF (Anyone who has read Roman history knows a barbarian invasion when they see one.)
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To: Qbert

California is always going to be tough state for the GOP to compete in due to the Democrat registration advantage and large minority populations. Meg Whitman putting significant resources into her GOTV effort (estimated at $15-18 million with 20,000 volunteers), which should help the party’s overall outlook even if Whitman herself doesn’t win. Fiorina will definitely benefit but I still don’t know if it will be enough to take out Boxer. There are a few House seats in play as well, but I’m much more pessimistic about California than I was even a few weeks ago.


12 posted on 10/31/2010 10:05:03 AM PDT by zebrahead
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To: Qbert
The California Secretary of State's office could not be reached

Off at a meeting with Soros, guaranteed.


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

14 posted on 10/31/2010 10:25:12 AM PDT by The Comedian (Let's see who can punch the softest. You go first.)
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To: Qbert

California will more likely break Republican if the national races to the east do; a “Republican wave” will sweep East to West as the polls close.

Fiorina should win no matter the size of the wave; Whitman should win only because she’s running against Moonbeam Brown.


15 posted on 10/31/2010 10:32:41 AM PDT by reaganaut (Ex Mormon, now Christian - "I once was lost but now am found, was blind but now I see")
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