The problem in these statewide races is that, overall, Obama is still fairly popular. Just today he is at 47% Approval in Ras and 47% Approval in Gallup. In states like California and Washington, he is over 50%.
Despite what a disaster Obama and his hideous band of Congressional Democrats have been, almost half the public still stubbornly approves of BHO.
Because a lot of that support is concentrated in urban areas, Obama's fairly high numbers don't help him as much in the House races where his approval among whites is low. But for statewide races, the Democrats benefit massively from the strong support among minority and victim groups.
Overcoming this going forward is going to be a major problem. If we don't start making inroads into at least the Hispanic vote soon, it is going to be next to impossible to win statewide in more and more states.
Yup. That’s why I predict Obama is going to win a second term. He has NY, PA, NJ, IL and CA locked up. Its going to be pretty hard for a GOP presidential candidate to run the table on the Democrats in the mega-states.
That’s about the size of the challenge the GOP has to overcome in 2012 and defeating Obama is still a long-shot, no matter what happens on Tuesday.