It would surprise me if Leahy or Schumer lost.
Anything else would get a response like “wow, I guess the wave WAS big”.
I think I heard somewhere that the generic ballot was 55-40 Republican. In 2008, it was -8 Republican. We’re 23 points ahead of 2008, according to that.
If we’re 23 points ahead of 2008, and we very well may be, we win pretty much everything.
So, I’ve factored that possibility in. It’s also possible that we end up with less than that 23 point swing.
Leahy and Schumer losing would really surprise me though, apart from the pleasing and predictable results of a huge wave election.
If Leahy loses, you can expect the Rapture to happen any minute. lol
There are many national races that haven’t been polled, and have not received much attention at all. I bet that when we wake up on Wed., November 3, we will more likely than not see folks that we’ve never heard of elected.