Well....we’ve been holding our ballots...until the last minute....and we’re NOT VOTING FOR WYDEN! or any other DEM
After looking at the sample in the last Rasmussen poll and comparing it to 2008 I think Huffman has a really good chance of seeing an upset on election day especially with the clear indication that Republicans are more energized.
Why are you holding your ballots?
Holding the ballots...sort of like running the clock down in football, before scoring a touchdown? No time to respond to “it”...whatever it is. It’s not perfectly analogous, but the philosophy is the same. Also, you gain information as time passes.
I did some calcs based on 882,000 dems, 670,000 repubs and 546,000 indies (OR sec of state). As it stands now if everyone voted straight party line and indies voted 2 to 1 for repubs, Dems would win 352,400 to 348,700 based on the 4 point turnout advantage for Republicans. That advantage must exceed 5% for R victory and should be more like 10 to 15%.
Also Republicans in OR haven’t taken advantage of declining democrat registrations to register new Republicans. The tsunami may be coming and OR Republicans might not be able to take much advantage of it due to lack of organization, interest or whatever. They may think that OR is a blue state now so forget about it. The reality is that OR-04 and OR-05 and the governorship are winnable just based on exceeding the democrat turnout by 10%.
They can’t and announce the tallies BEFORE election day? }: