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West Virginia Senate Manchin (D) Takes Slight Lead Over Raese (R)- WAKE UP WEST VIRGINIA!
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/28/10

Posted on 10/28/2010 8:53:55 AM PDT by MissesBush

Democratic Governor Joe Manchin has been in overdrive in recent days to distance himself from President Obama and congressional Democrats, and now he’s edged back into a three-point advantage in West Virginia’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely West Virginia Voters finds Manchin with 49% support to Republican John Raese’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, while four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is the first time Manchin’s had any edge in the polling since mid-September, and the race now moves from Leans Republican to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

A week ago, Raese held a lead over the highly popular governor who surprisingly found himself on the defensive in a state where the president and his policies are highly unpopular. The race remains one of the closest in the country with both national parties pouring heavy advertising dollars into the state.

Raese leads among voters who Strongly Disapprove of President Obama’s performance while Manchin is the overwhelming choice for those with a positive opinion of the president. Among those who Somewhat Disapprove of Obama’s performance, Manchin has a 2-to-1 advantage.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in West Virginia was conducted on October 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Do most voters still think it's best for West Virginia if Manchin stays as governor? Has Manchin done a good job convincing voters he's not a liberal Democrat? Become a Platinum member and find out.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; raese; westvasenaterace; wv2010
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Can someone from West Virginia enlighten us as to what's going on here? Is Raese blowing it somehow? You guys have got to spend the next few days getting Raese's vote out--knock doors, make phone calls, etc. Manchin is a phony who will go to DC and be Obama's sock puppet. Don't let people be fooled by another Blue Dog/Lap Dog phony!
1 posted on 10/28/2010 8:54:00 AM PDT by MissesBush
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To: MissesBush

Tea Party must go door to door non-stop through Tuesday. Wake up the clueless.


2 posted on 10/28/2010 8:57:06 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead (YEAH, I ALREADY VOTED TO CLEAN THE SEWER!!!)
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To: MissesBush

I don’t know. The people of this state think that Joe Manchin is a good governor. I am having a hard time convincing conservatives in my church to back Raese. It is really sad.


3 posted on 10/28/2010 8:58:34 AM PDT by christianhomeschoolmommaof3
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To: MissesBush

Raese is going down. Manchin’s anti-DC ads are brilliant, and I saw Raese on CSPAN yesterday spouting bizaree crap at a CoC event. Sounded like a Northeast lockjawed blue blood.


4 posted on 10/28/2010 8:59:16 AM PDT by montag813 (http://www.facebook.com/StandWithArizona)
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To: MissesBush

If the voters there are idiot enough to send this Obama rubber stamp to the Senate, they are cutting their own throats. Manchin isn’t going to buck anything Obama and the ‘Rats want. Obama has already said in so many words that he will ruin the coal industry. If WV votes for that, they deserve all the misery they’re going to get.


5 posted on 10/28/2010 8:59:21 AM PDT by chimera
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To: MissesBush
Raese said that he was open to scraping the minimum wage.

In WV, that might not have been the smartest thing to say.

This race has flip-flopped quite a bit, so I'm hoping it will flip back. Manchin has the morals of a Charlie Crist.

6 posted on 10/28/2010 9:00:04 AM PDT by mojito
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To: MissesBush

Raese made a serious and needless mistake when he said that he absolutely favored abolishing the minimum. I think that was when he slipped several points, and it seems to be deteriorating further.

If Republicans want to blow any given election and keep the Dims in office, just start babbling about ending Social Security or abolishing the minimum wage. It’s poison, but some just can’t resist.

Maybe Raese will pull it out because WV should be sending conservatives to Congress for the long rur.


7 posted on 10/28/2010 9:06:15 AM PDT by Will88
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To: MissesBush

Don’t believe the polls, they have no way to predict the percentages of turnout. They are shooting an arrow in the air.

Pray for America


8 posted on 10/28/2010 9:07:15 AM PDT by bray (A November to Remember)
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To: Will88

He needs to tell WV voters that their vote will allow democrat control of congress. He is running to take control of congress away from them.


9 posted on 10/28/2010 9:08:36 AM PDT by excopconservative
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To: MissesBush
The survey of 750 Likely Voters...

Nuff said.

10 posted on 10/28/2010 9:10:14 AM PDT by mewzilla (Still voteless in NY-29. Over 400 roll call votes missed and counting...)
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To: Will88

Hopefully, Raese does not let Manchin slip away from Obama and keeps pounding him with “rubber stamp” adds. It got hiim this far and will be the likely thing that carries him over the finish line.


11 posted on 10/28/2010 9:10:14 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: mojito

Interesting. As someone who’s made less than ‘minimum’ for some time, I’d support him here.

From my seat it’s the unions who’s pay is based on some multiple of the minimum who are hurt hardest by this policy. It would mean that their compensation would likely go down and better reflect their value.


12 posted on 10/28/2010 9:13:31 AM PDT by BenKenobi
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To: mewzilla

You obviously know nothing about statistical sampling. Like it or not statistics is a science.


13 posted on 10/28/2010 9:19:49 AM PDT by freedomwarrior998
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To: MissesBush
Does WV have early voting and if so does anyone know if early voters are even questioned in these polls?
14 posted on 10/28/2010 9:19:52 AM PDT by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: freedomwarrior998

I know that a poll with a sample size under 900 likley voters isn’t worth much to start with :)


15 posted on 10/28/2010 9:21:04 AM PDT by mewzilla (Still voteless in NY-29. Over 400 roll call votes missed and counting...)
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To: mewzilla

...likely...


16 posted on 10/28/2010 9:21:24 AM PDT by mewzilla (Still voteless in NY-29. Over 400 roll call votes missed and counting...)
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To: MissesBush

We have fallen far when the main strategy in politics is to see who can best sway the nose-picking, illiterate morons in society to vote for you. The stupidest people in the nation are literally controlling America because they deteremine who wins elections.


17 posted on 10/28/2010 9:21:47 AM PDT by my small voice
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To: excopconservative; FlipWilson

I hope Raese does pull this out. And he should have spent more time linking Manchin to Obama and what Obama’s agenda would do to the WV coal industry.

And he should never have mentioned abolishing the minimum wage. That’s not going to happen. All they can or should do is keep it at a low end level. Polls show 70% to 80% support for the minimum wage, and for raising it periodically.


18 posted on 10/28/2010 9:22:09 AM PDT by Will88
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To: freedomwarrior998
Like it or not statistics is a science.

A quote...

There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.

Benjamin Disraeli

:)

19 posted on 10/28/2010 9:22:55 AM PDT by mewzilla (Still voteless in NY-29. Over 400 roll call votes missed and counting...)
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To: christianhomeschoolmommaof3

Point out to them how it was the so-called Blue Dogs who passed Obamacare. Just like the Blue Dogs in the House, the so-called Senate Democratic moderates will perhaps vote against Obama on one or two relatively inconsequential votes, but then be with Obama on everything else. Remind them not a single Senate Democrat, not even supposed moderates like Ben Nelson or Mary Landrieu, voted against Obamacare nor the stimulus. They may have made a little noise for effect, but then were bribed into toeing the Obama line.


20 posted on 10/28/2010 9:24:06 AM PDT by MissesBush (Stay angry--right through November)
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