Thanks , Al. That is great news. COD is ahead of schedule, far ahead of where I thought she would be. I don’t want to get overconfident, but I think she will win it by several percent, like she did the Primary.
Like you say, turnout.
We’re seeing Republicans up +15 in early voting over 2008 on average.
Do the old polls have it at 40 D 37 R ?
I don’t think so.
If Christine is down by 11 in a Rasmussen poll, and 6 percent more Republicans and 5 percent fewer Democrats and it’s a tie.
So many of these polls rely so heavily on the assumptions that they make about turnout of the 2 parties.
A lot can happen in a week. Obama could, all of a sudden, become someone who can make people want to get out of bed and leave the house and vote for Chris Coons. I don’t think that will happen, and I think that a much higher percentage of Republicans will vote than Democrats. I think that Indies who like Christine will vote more often than Indies who don’t like Christine.
Coons is a pretty dislikeable character, especially compared to Christine, the superstar.