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To: Hush44
NY-20 is based on a Sienna College poll from Sept 14 that had the race as Gibson (R) 37% - Murphy (D) 54%. The Experts have this race as a slight lean towards Democrats.

NY-23 is based on a Sienna College poll from Oct 11 that had the race as Doheny (R) 39% - Owens (D) 44%.The Experts have this race as a toss-up.

-PJ

44 posted on 10/23/2010 3:02:33 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too ("Comprehensive" reform bills only end up as incomprehensible messes.)
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To: Political Junkie Too

thanks for reply

Sienna is old data, and for some reason they don’t have a good track record in this district (NY20)

3 polls since the Siena one, 2 rep/1 dem
Silver does use them for his prediction of Toss-up for NY20

So much data..
Only Nov 2 will tell..

Thanks for all your work!


48 posted on 10/23/2010 4:00:38 PM PDT by Hush44 (http://www.chrisgibsonforcongress.com/)
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